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2016-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% -
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Cooney * 39 4-15 4-9 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 14 -1 +4.6
M. Gbinije * 38 6-11 2-5 0-1 1 9 2 0 4 14 11 +3.1
M. Richardson * 37 5-16 3-6 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 14 6 -
T. Roberson * 36 7-14 0-0 0-3 20 3 0 0 0 14 23 -
D. Coleman * 14 0-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
T. Lydon 29 3-9 2-3 0-0 9 0 1 1 0 8 10 -
F. Howard 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ingram * 40 5-12 3-8 0-0 11 3 0 0 3 13 12 -
M. Plumlee * 38 7-11 0-0 5-8 17 0 1 4 1 19 29 -1.5
G. Allen * 38 7-15 3-8 1-1 1 1 1 1 2 18 5 -
M. Jones * 32 2-11 2-11 0-0 2 7 2 0 0 6 6 -
L. Kennard * 28 0-9 0-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 -3 -
D. Thornton 22 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 4 +1.3
S. Obi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter