Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.0% | 23.0% | -6.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -10 (78-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ingram * | 39 | 10-16 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 39 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | -4.6 |
| M. Jones * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| G. Allen * | 34 | 11-17 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 24 | - |
| L. Kennard * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| D. Thornton | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -5.1 |
| S. Obi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Martin | 25 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Barber * | 39 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | +8.9 |
| M. Rowan * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +9.0 |
| A. Abu * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Martin * | 28 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| B. Anya * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Freeman | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | +8.3 |
* = starter