Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +12.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lee * | 38 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -4.2 |
| T. Lewis * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Q. Snider * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -4.4 |
| C. Onuaku * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 24 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| R. Spalding | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Adel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Stockman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ingram * | 40 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| G. Allen * | 39 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | +9.6 |
| M. Jones * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Thornton * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +9.1 |
| L. Kennard | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Jeter | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter