Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +3 (92-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Martin | 33 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| C. Barber * | 39 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 19 | +3.7 |
| A. Abu * | 38 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| M. Rowan * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | +6.4 |
| C. Martin * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| B. Anya | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Kirk | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.5 |
| L. Freeman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.5 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ingram * | 40 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| G. Allen * | 39 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| L. Kennard * | 35 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 32 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 25 | -1.9 |
| M. Jones * | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Thornton | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Jeter | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter