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2016-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 82.9% 17.1% -
Bradley-Terry 79.9% 20.1% -
Margin 83.7% 16.3% -9.0 (23.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% -
Efficiency 79.2% 20.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 71.0% 29.0% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Allen * 38 6-13 3-9 7-8 3 2 2 0 4 22 12 -
B. Ingram * 37 5-13 3-8 4-4 3 1 0 1 3 17 6 -
D. Thornton * 35 2-9 1-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 5 -3 -1.5
M. Plumlee * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 0 5 -1.0
M. Jones * 25 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
L. Kennard 28 3-10 3-8 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 11 7 -
C. Jeter 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Artis * 36 6-10 2-5 3-5 5 4 2 0 1 17 17 -
J. Robinson * 36 4-10 2-6 4-4 3 7 0 0 1 14 13 -
C. Jones * 32 3-9 1-3 2-2 8 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
M. Young * 17 4-9 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 1 2 10 9 -
R. Maia * 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
S. Jeter 24 5-8 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 11 8 -
R. Luther 24 4-5 1-1 1-2 3 3 0 0 3 10 8 +6.2
C. Johnson 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
S. Smith 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Wilson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1.3
A. Nelson-Ododa 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Lecak 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter