Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.7 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mason * | 40 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | -8.3 |
| N. Victor * | 38 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -8.3 |
| B. Sherrod * | 36 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17 | -8.1 |
| J. Sears * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -12.6 |
| A. Dallier * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -8.9 |
| S. Downey | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Phills | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.4 |
| K. Ghani | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +13.2 |
| B. Reynolds | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Allen * | 40 | 10-15 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 14 | - |
| B. Ingram * | 40 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 14 | - |
| L. Kennard * | 38 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 31 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | +12.5 |
| M. Jones * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Thornton | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| C. Jeter | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter