Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | -6.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pagliuca | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Ingram * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -5 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 38 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | -3.3 |
| L. Kennard * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| G. Allen * | 36 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 8-9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 17 | - |
| D. Thornton * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -3.8 |
| C. Jeter | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Henderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Onuaku * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D. Lee * | 35 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | +8.5 |
| D. Adel * | 28 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +15.3 |
| J. Johnson * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -7.3 |
| T. Lewis | 31 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +15.8 |
| R. Spalding | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Stockman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter