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2016-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 10.6% 89.4% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 28.7% 71.3% -
Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Log Adjusted 26.8% 73.2% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +24 (82-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. LeDay * 36 6-11 0-1 6-6 9 2 0 1 1 18 18 -6.4
J. Bibbs * 31 1-4 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
S. Allen * 30 1-9 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 1 5 3 -5 -
J. Hudson * 23 2-9 0-4 4-7 0 1 0 0 3 8 -3 +4.1
S. Henry * 11 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
K. Blackshear Jr. 24 6-12 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 12 4 -7.1
J. Robinson 24 2-4 1-1 3-5 2 3 0 0 2 8 7 -
D. Wilson 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 +4.2
S. Pierce 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Hamilton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ingram * 37 4-7 3-6 5-9 9 2 1 6 2 16 25 -
M. Jones * 34 5-10 3-5 0-0 2 2 3 0 2 13 8 -
G. Allen * 32 6-14 2-7 2-4 7 4 0 0 3 16 10 -
M. Plumlee * 32 6-7 0-0 9-10 10 0 0 2 0 21 26 +10.9
D. Thornton * 30 2-10 0-3 1-2 5 7 0 0 5 5 2 +10.4
L. Kennard 26 4-8 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 11 6 -
C. Jeter 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Pagliuca 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter