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2015-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Elon Phoenix Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.1% 96.9% -
Bradley-Terry 6.2% 93.8% -
Margin 0.5% 99.5% +29.0 (10.0 off)

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +39 (105-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Samson * 25 6-9 5-8 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 17 15 -10.8
T. Seibring * 25 2-7 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 5 4 -12.5
C. Hairston * 23 3-8 0-0 3-6 6 1 0 1 0 9 9 -
D. Thompson * 21 3-7 0-0 1-4 3 0 1 0 1 7 3 +2.0
L. Eddy * 18 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 3 0 0 4 1 -1 -
D. Swoope 27 3-10 2-8 0-1 0 5 1 0 2 8 2 -10.0
S. Santa Ana 22 4-10 2-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 10 5 -10.4
K. Kundrotas 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -7 -12.5
J. Anton 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 +2.0
C. Luther 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
S. Eberhardt 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
W. Brewer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Hershberger 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jones * 35 6-11 3-7 2-3 6 3 0 0 1 17 14 -
D. Thornton * 32 5-11 1-4 1-1 2 3 1 1 1 12 7 -0.9
B. Ingram * 31 11-16 3-6 1-2 11 1 3 0 0 26 25 -
G. Allen * 28 7-15 1-3 2-2 2 5 3 0 1 17 11 -
M. Plumlee * 20 3-6 0-0 4-6 11 0 0 3 2 10 16 -
L. Kennard 28 5-12 4-8 4-4 6 4 2 0 2 18 16 -
C. Jeter 15 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 3 5 6 -
S. Obi 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
A. Vrankovic 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Besser 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Pagliuca 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter