Chicago
2018 Team Stats (79 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 736 (#28) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 874 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 910 (#25) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -6.9 (#29) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -9.8 (#30) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.319 (#28) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.322 (#29) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.321 (#29) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.351 (#29) | AdjO 102.0 | AdjD 108.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.322 (#30) | AdjO 101.2 | AdjD 109.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.288 (#29) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.283 (#29) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 867 (#27) | RD 240 | GP 82 |
2018 Schedule & Results
2018 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Mirotic | F | 24 | 24.9 | 16.9 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 12.2 | 12.6 | - | - | - | - | 47.6 | 43.5 | 81.3 | - | 62.5 | 59.1 |
Zach LaVine
|
G | 22 | 27.3 | 16.3 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 14.7 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 37.7 | 31.9 | 82.3 | - | 49.0 | 43.2 |
| Sean Kilpatrick | G | 9 | 23.7 | 15.4 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 11.9 | 7.4 | - | - | - | - | 43.9 | 39.6 | 81.2 | - | 57.4 | 52.8 |
Lauri Markkanen
|
F | 65 | 29.3 | 15.1 | 7.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 12.6 | 10.8 | - | - | - | - | 43.7 | 36.3 | 84.4 | - | 55.4 | 52.0 |
Kris Dunn
|
G | 50 | 29.0 | 13.7 | 4.3 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 12.7 | 10.7 | - | - | - | - | 44.0 | 32.3 | 74.1 | - | 49.9 | 47.3 |
Bobby Portis
|
F | 70 | 22.5 | 13.1 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 11.0 | 10.3 | - | - | - | - | 47.0 | 35.4 | 76.8 | - | 54.6 | 51.8 |
Justin Holiday
|
G | 70 | 31.1 | 12.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 10.8 | 7.6 | - | - | - | - | 36.9 | 36.0 | 82.5 | - | 51.1 | 47.3 |
Robin Lopez
|
C | 62 | 26.0 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 9.9 | 7.5 | - | - | - | - | 52.5 | 28.6 | 74.4 | - | 54.7 | 52.8 |
Denzel Valentine
|
F | 74 | 27.0 | 10.1 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 9.4 | 8.7 | - | - | - | - | 41.4 | 38.1 | 76.0 | - | 52.2 | 51.2 |
Cameron Payne
|
G | 24 | 23.4 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 8.6 | 7.5 | - | - | - | - | 40.8 | 39.5 | 75.0 | - | 50.2 | 49.0 |
| Jerian Grant | G | 72 | 22.6 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.8 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.8 | 32.1 | 73.3 | - | 51.8 | 46.8 |
| Antonio Blakeney | - | 19 | 16.5 | 7.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 7.5 | 3.1 | - | - | - | - | 37.1 | 28.8 | 76.9 | - | 47.1 | 42.3 |
David Nwaba
|
G | 67 | 23.4 | 7.7 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 5.9 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 47.1 | 30.6 | 64.9 | - | 53.4 | 49.0 |
Noah Vonleh
|
F | 20 | 19.1 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 6.8 | 8.3 | - | - | - | - | 41.2 | 28.8 | 48.1 | - | 48.0 | 47.4 |
Cristiano Felicio
|
C | 53 | 18.0 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.5 | - | - | - | - | 58.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 61.1 | 58.8 |
| Paul Zipser | F | 52 | 15.6 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 2.9 | - | - | - | - | 34.5 | 33.9 | 76.0 | - | 44.4 | 42.5 |
| Kay Felder | - | 14 | 9.6 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 30.3 | 22.2 | 91.7 | - | 38.6 | 33.3 |
Ryan Arcidiacono
|
- | 23 | 13.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.9 | - | - | - | - | 41.5 | 29.0 | 83.3 | - | 55.0 | 52.4 |
| Quincy Pondexter | F | 23 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 13.6 | 82.4 | - | 39.8 | 31.6 |
| Omer Asik | - | 4 | 15.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 31.1 | 33.3 |
| Jarell Eddie | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2017-2018 Shot Zones
3656 located field-goal attempts in 41 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Bobby PortisLauri MarkkanenDenzel ValentineJustin HolidayDavid NwabaRobin Lopez
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 650-1100 | 59.1 | 1300 | Bobby Portis 13% (170 pts) | Lauri Markkanen 12% (160 pts) | Bobby Portis 18% (79 misses) | David Nwaba 15% (68 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 231-598 | 38.6 | 462 | Robin Lopez 17% (80 pts) | Bobby Portis 17% (78 pts) | David Nwaba 15% (54 misses) | Robin Lopez 12% (45 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 73-210 | 34.8 | 146 | Lauri Markkanen 15% (22 pts) | Bobby Portis 14% (20 pts) | Lauri Markkanen 17% (23 misses) | Zach LaVine 15% (21 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 78-200 | 39.0 | 156 | Bobby Portis 21% (32 pts) | Kris Dunn 12% (18 pts) | Bobby Portis 15% (18 misses) | Zach LaVine 13% (16 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 87-236 | 36.9 | 174 | Bobby Portis 31% (54 pts) | Denzel Valentine 10% (18 pts) | Bobby Portis 16% (24 misses) | Lauri Markkanen 15% (22 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 43-123 | 35.0 | 129 | Justin Holiday 26% (33 pts) | Denzel Valentine 19% (24 pts) | Denzel Valentine 19% (15 misses) | Justin Holiday 18% (14 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 40-115 | 34.8 | 120 | Justin Holiday 28% (33 pts) | Denzel Valentine 12% (15 pts) | Justin Holiday 35% (26 misses) | Denzel Valentine 15% (11 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 137-386 | 35.5 | 411 | Lauri Markkanen 15% (60 pts) | Bobby Portis 12% (51 pts) | Denzel Valentine 12% (30 misses) | Lauri Markkanen 11% (28 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 127-342 | 37.1 | 381 | Denzel Valentine 17% (63 pts) | Lauri Markkanen 16% (60 pts) | Bobby Portis 16% (34 misses) | Justin Holiday 14% (31 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 116-346 | 33.5 | 348 | Denzel Valentine 18% (63 pts) | Justin Holiday 16% (57 pts) | Lauri Markkanen 14% (33 misses) | Justin Holiday 13% (30 misses) |