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Chicago

Also known as: Chicago Bulls
Program History

2018 Team Stats (79 games)

102.2
PPG
109.5
Opp
-7.3
Margin
43.4%
FG%
35.3%
3P%
75.6%
FT%
44.5
RPG
23.3
APG
13.1
TO
100.4
Est. poss./game
102.0
Adj PPG
108.7
Adj Opp PPG
#29
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 736 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 874 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 910 (#25) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ -6.9 (#29) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -9.8 (#30) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.319 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.5 More โ†’ 0.322 (#29) AdjNet -6.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.5 More โ†’ 0.321 (#29) AdjNet -6.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 102.0 | AdjD 108.7 More โ†’ 0.351 (#29) AdjO 102.0 | AdjD 108.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 101.2 | AdjD 109.4 More โ†’ 0.322 (#30) AdjO 101.2 | AdjD 109.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.288 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.283 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 240 | GP 82 More โ†’ 867 (#27) RD 240 | GP 82

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-10-19 @ Toronto Raptors L 100 - 117
2017-10-21 vs San Antonio Spurs L 77 - 87
2017-10-24 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 112 - 119
2017-10-26 vs Atlanta Hawks W 91 - 86
2017-10-28 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 69 - 101
2017-11-01 @ Miami Heat L 91 - 97
2017-11-03 @ Orlando Magic W 105 - 83
2017-11-04 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 90 - 96
2017-11-07 @ Toronto Raptors L 114 - 119
2017-11-10 vs Indiana Pacers L 87 - 105
2017-11-11 @ San Antonio Spurs L 94 - 133
2017-11-15 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 79 - 92
2017-11-17 vs Charlotte Hornets W 123 - 120
2017-11-19 @ Phoenix Suns L 105 - 113
2017-11-21 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 94 - 103
2017-11-22 @ Utah Jazz L 80 - 110
2017-11-24 @ Golden State Warriors L 94 - 143
2017-11-26 vs Miami Heat L 93 - 100
2017-11-28 vs Phoenix Suns L 99 - 104
2017-11-30 @ Denver Nuggets L 110 - 111
2017-12-01 vs Sacramento Kings L 106 - 107
2017-12-04 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 91 - 113
2017-12-06 @ Indiana Pacers L 96 - 98
2017-12-08 @ Charlotte Hornets W 119 - 111
2017-12-09 vs New York Knicks W 104 - 102
2017-12-11 vs Boston Celtics W 108 - 85
2017-12-13 vs Utah Jazz W 103 - 100
2017-12-15 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 115 - 109
2017-12-18 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 117 - 115
2017-12-20 vs Orlando Magic W 112 - 94
2017-12-21 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 112 - 115
2017-12-23 @ Boston Celtics L 92 - 117
2017-12-26 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 115 - 106
2017-12-27 vs New York Knicks W 92 - 87
2017-12-29 vs Indiana Pacers W 119 - 107
2017-12-31 @ Washington Wizards L 110 - 114
2018-01-01 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 120 - 124
2018-01-03 vs Toronto Raptors L 115 - 124
2018-01-05 @ Dallas Mavericks W 127 - 124
2018-01-06 @ Indiana Pacers L 86 - 125
2018-01-08 vs Houston Rockets L 107 - 116
2018-01-10 @ New York Knicks - Incomplete score
2018-01-13 vs Detroit Pistons W 107 - 105
2018-01-15 vs Miami Heat W 119 - 111
2018-01-17 vs Golden State Warriors L 112 - 119
2018-01-20 @ Atlanta Hawks W 113 - 97
2018-01-22 @ New Orleans Pelicans - Incomplete score
2018-01-24 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 101 - 115
2018-01-26 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 103 - 108
2018-01-28 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 96 - 110
2018-01-31 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 108 - 124
2018-02-03 @ LA Clippers L 103 - 113
2018-02-05 @ Sacramento Kings L 98 - 104
2018-02-09 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 114 - 113
2018-02-10 vs Washington Wizards L 90 - 101
2018-02-12 vs Orlando Magic W 105 - 101
2018-02-14 vs Toronto Raptors L 98 - 122
2018-02-24 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 104 - 122
2018-02-26 @ Brooklyn Nets L 87 - 104
2018-02-27 @ Charlotte Hornets L 103 - 118
2018-03-02 vs Dallas Mavericks W 108 - 100
2018-03-05 vs Boston Celtics L 89 - 105
2018-03-07 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 119 - 110
2018-03-09 @ Detroit Pistons L 83 - 99
2018-03-11 @ Atlanta Hawks W 129 - 122
2018-03-13 vs LA Clippers L 106 - 112
2018-03-15 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 111 - 110
2018-03-17 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 109 - 114
2018-03-19 @ New York Knicks L 92 - 110
2018-03-21 vs Denver Nuggets L 102 - 135
2018-03-23 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 105 - 118
2018-03-24 @ Detroit Pistons L 95 - 117
2018-03-27 @ Houston Rockets L 86 - 118
2018-03-29 @ Miami Heat L 92 - 103
2018-03-30 @ Orlando Magic W 90 - 82
2018-04-01 vs Washington Wizards W 113 - 94
2018-04-03 vs Charlotte Hornets W 120 - 114
2018-04-06 @ Boston Celtics L 104 - 111
2018-04-07 vs Brooklyn Nets L 96 - 124
2018-04-09 @ Brooklyn Nets L 105 - 114
2018-04-11 vs Detroit Pistons L 87 - 119

2018 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nikola Mirotic F 24 24.9 16.9 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 12.2 12.6 - - - - 47.6 43.5 81.3 - 62.5 59.1
Zach LaVine Zach LaVine G 22 27.3 16.3 3.9 3.0 1.1 0.2 1.8 14.7 8.0 - - - - 37.7 31.9 82.3 - 49.0 43.2
Sean Kilpatrick G 9 23.7 15.4 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 1.3 11.9 7.4 - - - - 43.9 39.6 81.2 - 57.4 52.8
Lauri Markkanen Lauri Markkanen F 65 29.3 15.1 7.3 1.2 0.6 0.6 1.2 12.6 10.8 - - - - 43.7 36.3 84.4 - 55.4 52.0
Kris Dunn Kris Dunn G 50 29.0 13.7 4.3 5.9 1.9 0.5 2.9 12.7 10.7 - - - - 44.0 32.3 74.1 - 49.9 47.3
Bobby Portis Bobby Portis F 70 22.5 13.1 6.9 1.7 0.7 0.3 1.4 11.0 10.3 - - - - 47.0 35.4 76.8 - 54.6 51.8
Justin Holiday Justin Holiday G 70 31.1 12.1 3.9 2.1 1.1 0.4 1.3 10.8 7.6 - - - - 36.9 36.0 82.5 - 51.1 47.3
Robin Lopez Robin Lopez C 62 26.0 11.5 4.5 1.9 0.2 0.8 1.6 9.9 7.5 - - - - 52.5 28.6 74.4 - 54.7 52.8
Denzel Valentine Denzel Valentine F 74 27.0 10.1 5.1 3.1 0.8 0.1 1.2 9.4 8.7 - - - - 41.4 38.1 76.0 - 52.2 51.2
Cameron Payne Cameron Payne G 24 23.4 8.9 2.8 4.4 1.0 0.3 1.4 8.6 7.5 - - - - 40.8 39.5 75.0 - 50.2 49.0
Jerian Grant G 72 22.6 8.2 2.3 4.5 0.8 0.1 1.1 6.8 8.0 - - - - 40.8 32.1 73.3 - 51.8 46.8
Antonio Blakeney - 19 16.5 7.9 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 7.5 3.1 - - - - 37.1 28.8 76.9 - 47.1 42.3
David Nwaba David Nwaba G 67 23.4 7.7 4.6 1.5 0.8 0.4 1.1 5.9 8.0 - - - - 47.1 30.6 64.9 - 53.4 49.0
Noah Vonleh Noah Vonleh F 20 19.1 7.1 6.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.8 6.8 8.3 - - - - 41.2 28.8 48.1 - 48.0 47.4
Cristiano Felicio Cristiano Felicio C 53 18.0 5.7 4.3 1.0 0.3 0.2 1.0 4.0 6.5 - - - - 58.8 0.0 66.7 - 61.1 58.8
Paul Zipser F 52 15.6 4.2 2.5 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.8 4.5 2.9 - - - - 34.5 33.9 76.0 - 44.4 42.5
Kay Felder - 14 9.6 3.9 1.0 1.4 0.2 0.1 1.1 4.7 0.9 - - - - 30.3 22.2 91.7 - 38.6 33.3
Ryan Arcidiacono Ryan Arcidiacono - 23 13.0 2.1 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.9 - - - - 41.5 29.0 83.3 - 55.0 52.4
Quincy Pondexter F 23 8.5 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 2.1 1.3 - - - - 28.6 13.6 82.4 - 39.8 31.6
Omer Asik - 4 15.3 1.0 2.5 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 - - - - 33.3 0 0.0 - 31.1 33.3
Jarell Eddie - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2017-2018 Shot Zones

3656 located field-goal attempts in 41 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Portis13% Lopez17% Markkanen15% Portis21% Portis31% Holiday26% Holiday28% Markkanen15% Valentine17% Valentine18%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Portis18% Nwaba15% Markkanen17% Portis15% Portis16% Valentine19% Holiday35% Valentine12% Portis16% Markkanen14%
Misses: who misses most here

Bobby PortisLauri MarkkanenDenzel ValentineJustin HolidayDavid NwabaRobin Lopez

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 650-1100 59.1 1300 Bobby Portis 13% (170 pts) Lauri Markkanen 12% (160 pts) Bobby Portis 18% (79 misses) David Nwaba 15% (68 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 231-598 38.6 462 Robin Lopez 17% (80 pts) Bobby Portis 17% (78 pts) David Nwaba 15% (54 misses) Robin Lopez 12% (45 misses)
Mid-range left 73-210 34.8 146 Lauri Markkanen 15% (22 pts) Bobby Portis 14% (20 pts) Lauri Markkanen 17% (23 misses) Zach LaVine 15% (21 misses)
Mid-range center 78-200 39.0 156 Bobby Portis 21% (32 pts) Kris Dunn 12% (18 pts) Bobby Portis 15% (18 misses) Zach LaVine 13% (16 misses)
Mid-range right 87-236 36.9 174 Bobby Portis 31% (54 pts) Denzel Valentine 10% (18 pts) Bobby Portis 16% (24 misses) Lauri Markkanen 15% (22 misses)
Left corner 3 43-123 35.0 129 Justin Holiday 26% (33 pts) Denzel Valentine 19% (24 pts) Denzel Valentine 19% (15 misses) Justin Holiday 18% (14 misses)
Right corner 3 40-115 34.8 120 Justin Holiday 28% (33 pts) Denzel Valentine 12% (15 pts) Justin Holiday 35% (26 misses) Denzel Valentine 15% (11 misses)
Above-break 3 left 137-386 35.5 411 Lauri Markkanen 15% (60 pts) Bobby Portis 12% (51 pts) Denzel Valentine 12% (30 misses) Lauri Markkanen 11% (28 misses)
Above-break 3 center 127-342 37.1 381 Denzel Valentine 17% (63 pts) Lauri Markkanen 16% (60 pts) Bobby Portis 16% (34 misses) Justin Holiday 14% (31 misses)
Above-break 3 right 116-346 33.5 348 Denzel Valentine 18% (63 pts) Justin Holiday 16% (57 pts) Lauri Markkanen 14% (33 misses) Justin Holiday 13% (30 misses)