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2017-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% - โœ—
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 โœ— (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% - โœ—

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -6 (109-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Holiday * 38 2-10 0-4 4-4 8 7 0 0 3 8 10 -
Nikola Mirotic * 29 7-16 3-7 5-7 8 2 1 0 1 22 16 -
Robin Lopez * 29 9-14 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 0 0 18 13 -
Kris Dunn * 25 7-12 0-1 3-5 0 7 2 0 2 17 12 -
Denzel Valentine * 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
David Nwaba 35 5-9 1-1 2-3 8 1 3 0 2 13 14 -
Bobby Portis 29 9-16 2-5 7-7 12 0 1 0 1 27 23 -
Jerian Grant 22 2-3 2-3 2-7 2 4 1 0 3 8 9 -
Paul Zipser 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 42 9-19 2-9 9-9 6 6 4 0 2 29 24 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 39 11-18 1-3 6-9 16 4 0 1 1 29 31 -
Eric Bledsoe * 34 5-13 1-5 1-2 2 7 1 0 5 12 4 -
John Henson * 19 5-6 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 2 1 11 14 -
Gary Payton II * 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Malcolm Brogdon 32 3-12 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 -2 -
Rashad Vaughn 28 3-10 2-8 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 9 5 -
Thon Maker 20 2-3 1-2 2-4 5 0 1 1 0 7 11 -
Sterling Brown 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
D.J. Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
DeAndre Liggins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter