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2017-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 54.0% 46.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.9% 47.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.0% 47.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls +5 (91-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Delaney * 35 3-11 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 6 2 -
Kent Bazemore * 32 7-19 2-5 0-0 5 3 3 1 4 16 5 -
Mike Muscala * 31 5-11 2-4 2-2 10 4 1 1 1 14 18 -
Taurean Prince * 28 1-7 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 3 -1 -
Dewayne Dedmon * 23 2-5 0-1 0-0 10 4 0 1 0 4 14 -
Marco Belinelli 30 8-16 5-9 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 23 12 -
John Collins 24 5-6 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 1 1 13 12 -
Isaiah Taylor 15 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 3 2 1 1 5 10 -
Luke Babbitt 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Josh Magette 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Holiday * 37 4-11 2-7 3-5 10 0 0 0 2 13 10 -
Jerian Grant * 36 2-7 0-2 7-10 4 7 2 0 2 11 15 -
Robin Lopez * 36 8-19 0-1 0-0 8 4 0 2 2 16 9 -
Denzel Valentine * 35 3-14 2-9 3-3 9 5 2 0 2 11 11 -
Lauri Markkanen * 30 5-13 2-8 2-3 12 1 0 0 2 14 12 -
David Nwaba 23 5-8 1-1 4-5 11 0 0 0 1 15 17 -
Quincy Pondexter 17 2-6 0-2 3-3 4 1 0 2 2 7 6 -
Kay Felder 12 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -
Cristiano Felicio 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter