๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2018-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 66.7% 33.3% -2.7 โœ— (4.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% - โœ—
Margin 68.4% 31.6% -4.2 โœ— (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.9% 31.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 57.9% 42.1% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Bulls +2 (107-105). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Avery Bradley * 37 10-19 6-10 0-0 3 1 2 1 4 26 10 -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 35 3-9 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 7 3 -
Andre Drummond * 33 8-13 0-0 5-6 15 4 2 3 1 21 31 -
Tobias Harris * 30 3-14 0-6 1-2 4 4 2 1 2 7 2 -
Ish Smith * 26 5-10 0-1 2-2 2 6 1 1 0 12 12 -
Luke Kennard 22 4-8 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 1 1 9 9 -
Dwight Buycks 21 4-12 1-3 1-1 3 3 0 0 0 10 4 -
Anthony Tolliver 18 3-5 3-4 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
Eric Moreland 14 1-2 0-0 1-1 5 5 0 0 2 3 9 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kris Dunn * 31 7-13 1-5 3-4 8 8 3 3 2 18 25 -
Justin Holiday * 31 3-7 3-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 9 7 -
Robin Lopez * 29 6-10 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 12 6 -
Lauri Markkanen * 26 7-15 4-7 1-1 4 1 3 1 1 19 12 -
Zach LaVine * 19 5-9 3-4 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 14 6 -
David Nwaba 26 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 2 4 -
Denzel Valentine 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 2 7 -
Nikola Mirotic 21 6-13 4-9 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 16 10 -
Bobby Portis 18 6-10 2-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 15 7 -
Jerian Grant 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 7 0 0 0 0 7 -

* = starter