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2018-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 79.3% 20.7% -5.7 ✓ (3.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 77.4% 22.6% - ✓
Margin 87.4% 12.6% -10.7 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.5% 16.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 71.0% 29.0% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls -9 (115-124). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 33 10-20 5-8 10-10 3 6 3 0 0 35 27 -
Kyle Lowry * 31 5-14 2-7 4-4 5 4 2 0 5 16 8 -
Serge Ibaka * 27 7-12 1-3 1-1 7 1 0 3 1 16 14 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
OG Anunoby * 15 1-5 0-4 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Delon Wright 29 10-15 4-5 1-1 13 5 4 1 2 25 31 -
Jakob Poeltl 25 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Pascal Siakam 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 4 0 0 0 4 10 -
CJ Miles 17 2-7 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Fred VanVleet 17 5-7 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 13 9 -
Norman Powell 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Lucas Nogueira 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Holiday * 38 7-10 6-9 6-7 4 4 1 0 2 26 23 -
Denzel Valentine * 31 6-12 2-5 0-0 7 2 1 0 3 14 9 -
Lauri Markkanen * 31 9-17 2-8 2-2 12 1 1 0 2 22 17 -
Kris Dunn * 28 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 8 2 1 3 2 9 -
Robin Lopez * 23 5-11 0-0 2-2 1 6 0 0 2 12 6 -
Nikola Mirotic 25 7-17 3-7 3-4 5 2 0 1 0 20 11 -
Jerian Grant 19 4-7 0-0 3-4 1 6 0 0 0 11 11 -
David Nwaba 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Bobby Portis 14 1-7 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Paul Zipser 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter