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2018-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% +1.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls +4 (105-101). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 33 9-15 3-6 1-1 3 5 0 1 0 22 16 -
Jonathon Simmons * 32 6-16 0-3 2-2 4 5 2 0 2 14 7 -
Mario Hezonja * 30 8-14 3-4 5-6 6 0 4 3 1 24 22 -
D.J. Augustin * 22 1-6 1-4 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 5 2 -
Bismack Biyombo * 20 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 10 9 -
Shelvin Mack 25 2-8 0-3 1-2 3 6 1 0 2 5 5 -
Khem Birch 25 0-0 0-0 4-4 8 1 1 0 0 4 14 -
Wes Iwundu 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 1 -
Arron Afflalo 16 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
Marreese Speights 12 4-9 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 10 7 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerian Grant * 37 6-9 1-3 1-3 5 7 2 1 3 14 17 -
Justin Holiday * 34 3-8 1-5 1-2 9 2 0 0 1 8 10 -
Zach LaVine * 33 7-16 2-4 2-2 7 5 1 0 2 18 13 -
Lauri Markkanen * 30 9-19 0-6 3-3 8 0 0 1 2 21 9 -
Robin Lopez * 26 2-6 0-0 2-2 5 5 1 1 1 6 11 -
Bobby Portis 26 8-17 3-6 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 19 12 -
Denzel Valentine 18 4-10 1-5 2-3 3 1 1 0 1 11 5 -
David Nwaba 13 0-0 0-0 5-6 1 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
Paul Zipser 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Ryan Arcidiacono 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter