Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | -6.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.2% | 24.8% | -6.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +12 (119-107). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Collison * | 39 | 12-16 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 35 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 27 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Joe Young | 12 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Alex Poythress | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Holiday * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jerian Grant * | 32 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 28 | 11-17 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| David Nwaba | 32 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Nikola Mirotic | 27 | 10-20 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Paul Zipser | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 15 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
* = starter