Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (124-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Holiday * | 37 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Kris Dunn * | 32 | 12-17 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 26 | - |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 31 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Nikola Mirotic | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| David Nwaba | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jerian Grant | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Paul Zipser | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 35 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 10-21 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 23 | 8-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Maxi Kleber * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 27 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 22 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter