Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (103-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Nwaba * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Noah Vonleh * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Payne * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Justin Holiday * | 21 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 32 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 24 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sean Kilpatrick | 14 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jerian Grant | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Arcidiacono | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| James Johnson * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 26 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 17 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Rodney McGruder | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Bam Adebayo | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter