Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.5% | 20.5% | -7.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -16 (89-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 28 | 9-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Al Horford * | 22 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 19 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Shane Larkin * | 16 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 31 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 22 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Greg Monroe | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Daniel Theis | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Abdel Nader | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kris Dunn * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Bobby Portis * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Zach LaVine * | 27 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 28 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Cristiano Felicio | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Cameron Payne | 19 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Noah Vonleh | 16 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jerian Grant | 7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jarell Eddie | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter