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2018-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 21.3% 78.7% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 37.2% 62.8% +2.9 (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +22 (117-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denzel Valentine * 27 7-14 4-7 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 18 9 -
Cameron Payne * 27 4-10 1-5 1-2 4 3 1 0 0 10 8 -
Noah Vonleh * 25 5-13 1-5 1-2 6 1 3 0 3 12 6 -
Justin Holiday * 21 2-9 1-6 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 5 1 -
Robin Lopez * 17 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 4 1 -
Bobby Portis 25 5-13 0-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 10 3 -
David Nwaba 25 5-12 1-3 2-3 7 1 1 0 1 13 9 -
Jerian Grant 22 4-10 2-3 0-0 3 10 1 0 0 10 14 -
Cristiano Felicio 19 4-6 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 0 0 10 15 -
Paul Zipser 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Ryan Arcidiacono 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 35 6-9 0-0 3-4 20 4 4 4 0 15 38 -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 29 5-9 4-7 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 14 6 -
Blake Griffin * 26 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 9 0 0 4 10 11 -
Reggie Jackson * 21 5-10 2-6 3-4 3 1 0 0 2 15 7 -
Stanley Johnson * 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Luke Kennard 26 5-9 1-3 2-2 3 6 1 1 1 13 14 -
Anthony Tolliver 25 8-15 6-12 3-3 6 1 0 1 0 25 18 -
James Ennis III 24 5-9 0-3 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 13 8 -
Ish Smith 22 5-9 1-4 1-1 1 7 1 0 1 12 11 -
Eric Moreland 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
Langston Galloway 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dwight Buycks 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Henry Ellenson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter