Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | +12.2 | ✓ (26.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +39 (125-86). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Dunn * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 27 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Justin Holiday * | 26 | 2-14 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 24 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Nikola Mirotic | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Paul Zipser | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jerian Grant | 19 | 0-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | - |
| David Nwaba | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Collison * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Victor Oladipo * | 23 | 9-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 22 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 20 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 26 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 24 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Joe Young | 20 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Leaf | 19 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Alex Poythress | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter