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Butler

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Butler Bulldogs, Butler
Program History
Coach: Thad Matta

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

79.7
PPG
77.5
Opp
+2.2
Margin
45.2%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
38.0
RPG
15.6
APG
11.5
TO
82.8
Pace
82.9
AdjO
73.2
AdjD
#71
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 979 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1028 (#156) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 959 (#589) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +9.7 (#70) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +19.6 (#89) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.567 (#135) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.7 More → 0.724 (#100) NetEff +9.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.3 More → 0.805 (#75) AdjNet +12.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.5 More → 0.810 (#75) AdjNet +12.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.708 (#71) AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 73.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 75.2 More → 0.513 (#219) AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 75.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.825 (#99) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.768 (#126) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 31 More → 1084 (#158) RD 135 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles W 88 - 58
2025-11-08 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 112 - 80
2025-11-11 vs Chicago State Cougars W 98 - 66
2025-11-15 @ SMU Mustangs L 85 - 87
2025-11-21 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 79 - 72
2025-11-23 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 80 - 73
2025-11-28 vs Wright State Raiders W 94 - 69
2025-12-02 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 84 - 68
2025-12-13 vs Providence Friars W 113 - 110
2025-12-16 @ UConn Huskies L 60 - 79
2025-12-20 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 61 - 58
2025-12-22 vs NJIT Highlanders W 101 - 52
2025-12-30 @ Creighton Bluejays L 85 - 89
2026-01-03 vs Villanova Wildcats L 67 - 85
2026-01-06 vs St. John's Red Storm L 70 - 84
2026-01-14 @ Xavier Musketeers L 75 - 89
2026-01-17 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 77 - 66
2026-01-20 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 87 - 80
2026-01-23 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 87 - 76
2026-01-28 @ St. John's Red Storm L 70 - 92
2026-01-31 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 64 - 77
2026-02-04 @ Providence Friars L 87 - 97
2026-02-07 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 55 - 70
2026-02-11 vs UConn Huskies L 70 - 80
2026-02-15 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 56 - 63
2026-02-18 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 93 - 89
2026-02-21 vs Xavier Musketeers W 80 - 75
2026-02-25 @ Villanova Wildcats L 73 - 82
2026-03-04 vs Creighton Bluejays L 59 - 76
2026-03-07 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 81 - 71
2026-03-11 vs Providence Friars L 81 - 91

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
F. Bizjack F. Bizjack - 30 34.0 17.3 2.2 2.5 0.8 0.1 1.7 12.4 8.9 64 2.7 8.7 42.6 35.8 85.5 0.7 59.0 51.8
M. Ajayi M. Ajayi - 31 33.6 16.5 11.2 3.2 1.1 0.9 2.7 13.0 17.3 123 5.6 12.7 45.5 26.2 65.8 1.15 52.4 47.6
J. Kaiser Jr. J. Kaiser Jr. - 29 28.9 9.6 4.3 1.0 1.2 0.1 0.7 7.6 8.0 278 11.6 17.6 43.4 34.8 76.6 2.33 56.4 52.5
J. Jackson J. Jackson - 6 22.5 9.5 3.5 3.8 1.3 0.2 3.0 7.2 8.2 -82 -3.3 -9.5 51.2 40.0 57.9 -1.54 55.5 53.5
Y. Traore Y. Traore - 31 19.8 8.5 3.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.6 5.4 6.8 20 0.9 3.8 55.4 20.0 70.9 0.12 61.4 56.2
E. Haywood E. Haywood G 28 19.8 7.2 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.4 6.8 3.9 48 2.2 7.1 36.1 35.8 75.0 0.47 51.3 50.0
Azavier "Stink" Robinson Azavier "Stink" Robinson - 21 18.3 6.2 2.0 2.5 1.4 0.3 2.0 4.7 5.7 98 4.5 18.5 46.9 41.4 71.1 1.03 57.1 53.1
D. Jones D. Jones - 31 19.2 6.2 4.6 1.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 3.6 9.1 -42 -1.6 -3.7 57.7 0.0 71.6 -0.57 63.8 57.7
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor - 24 16.8 4.9 2.2 2.1 0.8 0.3 1.5 4.2 4.5 9 0.6 3.1 40.2 10.5 61.8 -0.0 46.8 41.2
Y. Butler Y. Butler G 30 13.4 4.1 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.7 3.1 3.5 60 2.7 12.1 45.7 30.6 74.3 0.52 56.2 51.6
Jack Mccaffery Jack Mccaffery - 8 10.2 3.1 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.5 2.8 4 0.4 2.7 40.0 21.4 75.0 -0.15 53.1 47.5
Jackson Keith Jackson Keith - 25 8.8 2.0 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.7 2.4 42 2.6 25.5 44.2 29.4 57.1 0.56 51.9 50.0
E. McComb E. McComb - 6 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 5 1.0 38.2 100.0 0 0 0.06 100.0 100.0
Bryson Cardinal Bryson Cardinal F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kevin Ndzie Kevin Ndzie C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG