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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Seton Hall Pirates Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 90.3% 9.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.8% 71.2% -
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% -
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% -

Actual: Seton Hall Pirates -11 (66-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Bizjack 36 7-11 4-7 7-7 3 0 1 0 0 25 18 -4.6
J. Kaiser Jr. 32 1-8 0-5 5-6 3 1 2 0 0 7 5 +1.1
M. Ajayi 32 3-10 0-2 7-10 8 0 1 0 2 13 10 -8.3
A. Robinson 28 5-6 0-0 4-6 3 4 1 1 0 14 17 +3.1
D. Jones 25 2-2 0-0 7-8 4 0 2 1 2 11 14 +1.3
Y. Traore 15 2-3 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 7 4 -9.9
E. Haywood 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -9.8
E. Oliogu-Elabor 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -11.9
Y. Butler 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -4.0
J. Keith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Seton Hall Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams III 32 3-9 2-5 3-3 2 3 0 0 1 11 6 +4.9
A.J. Staton-McCray 31 4-10 1-4 8-8 3 1 0 1 3 17 9 +1.0
N. Hines 25 5-9 0-0 1-6 16 1 0 3 1 11 21 +10.0
A. Clark 24 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 8 8 +0.3
T. Parker 21 1-10 0-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 4 0 +11.9
J. Rivera 21 4-9 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 0 +10.1
TJ Simpkins 15 0-4 0-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 -1 +9.0
S. Payne III 14 1-2 0-0 2-4 7 0 1 0 5 4 5 -1.0
E. Fisher 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -1.0
J. Dar 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Erheriene 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter