Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -18 (67-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lewis | 36 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | +1.2 |
| M. Hodge | 36 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +0.1 |
| D. Brennan | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | -2.6 |
| B. Lindsay | 30 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | +0.3 |
| T. Perkins | 29 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | -2.8 |
| D. Askew | 23 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -7.9 |
| M. Palmer | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.0 |
| B. Pierce | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ajayi | 35 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | +3.2 |
| J. Kaiser Jr. | 31 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| F. Bizjack | 31 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Y. Traore | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +3.9 |
| D. Jones | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| E. Haywood | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Y. Butler | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1.0 |
| A. Robinson | 14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +1.0 |
| E. Oliogu-Elabor | 12 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | +3.9 |
| J. Keith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter