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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% -
Bradley-Terry 76.5% 23.5% -
Margin 64.8% 35.2% -3.3 (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 86.2% 13.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.8% 26.2% -
Log Adjusted 73.7% 26.3% -
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: Butler Bulldogs -18 (67-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Lewis 36 5-9 0-1 2-3 5 6 5 1 2 12 18 +1.2
M. Hodge 36 6-9 4-6 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 17 13 +0.1
D. Brennan 30 6-7 0-0 3-6 10 1 0 1 1 15 19 -2.6
B. Lindsay 30 7-13 3-7 1-1 1 2 1 0 2 18 7 +0.3
T. Perkins 29 4-9 0-5 4-4 7 2 2 2 5 12 11 -2.8
D. Askew 23 3-10 0-2 2-3 1 2 2 0 0 8 3 -7.9
M. Palmer 10 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 1 1 0 0 3 4 -2.0
B. Pierce 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Ajayi 35 4-10 0-3 4-4 12 5 2 0 5 12 16 +3.2
J. Kaiser Jr. 31 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 6 3 -
F. Bizjack 31 6-16 1-6 5-5 3 4 0 0 0 18 9 +2.1
Y. Traore 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 +3.9
D. Jones 19 3-4 0-1 3-3 3 0 1 0 0 9 9 +0.1
E. Haywood 18 0-4 0-4 1-2 4 3 0 0 0 1 4 +2.0
Y. Butler 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 2 -1.0
A. Robinson 14 2-6 1-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 5 0 +1.0
E. Oliogu-Elabor 12 3-7 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 -2 +3.9
J. Keith 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter