Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +9 (82-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kaiser Jr. | 37 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Ajayi | 37 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| F. Bizjack | 37 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| E. Oliogu-Elabor | 25 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Y. Traore | 23 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D. Jones | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Y. Butler | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Keith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lewis | 35 | 8-14 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| D. Brennan | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| B. Lindsay | 31 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | - |
| T. Perkins | 27 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Askew | 22 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Palmer | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Hodge | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| B. Pierce | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Jeffrey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter