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2026-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 56.0% 44.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 41.6% 58.4% +1.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% -
Log Adjusted 50.0% 50.0% -
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: Butler Bulldogs -10 (81-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Vaaks 37 9-16 8-13 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 28 15 -
J. Sellers 36 8-22 3-7 4-6 7 4 3 0 1 23 14 -
R. Mela 36 10-14 2-4 1-1 9 5 0 1 2 23 22 -
J. Jones 30 4-7 0-1 2-4 5 2 0 1 2 10 9 -
O. Erhunmwunse 26 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 0 4 12 -
C. Hargrove 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
C. Floyd Jr. 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 0 3 -
N. Daniels 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
P. Pinnis 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Bizjack 39 5-15 3-7 4-6 2 5 1 0 2 17 8 -
M. Ajayi 34 7-17 0-2 7-8 11 4 1 0 2 21 18 -
J. Kaiser Jr. 29 1-5 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
E. Oliogu-Elabor 25 5-9 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 2 0 10 8 -
D. Jones 20 4-4 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 9 8 -
E. Haywood 20 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 5 3 -
Y. Traore 19 3-6 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
J. Keith 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Y. Butler 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 -

* = starter