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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% -
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: Providence Friars +10 (97-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Bizjack 49 7-17 2-9 14-16 3 5 1 0 3 30 19 -
M. Ajayi 46 8-14 0-1 4-9 12 1 3 2 5 20 19 -
J. Kaiser Jr. 42 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 5 3 -
D. Jones 26 0-2 0-0 4-8 10 0 0 0 1 4 11 -
E. Haywood 25 3-11 2-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 -3 -
E. Oliogu-Elabor 24 3-5 1-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 7 6 -
Y. Traore 24 4-8 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 1 0 9 4 -
Y. Butler 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Keith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. McComb 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Mela 44 6-10 0-1 2-2 10 2 0 0 3 14 13 -
J. Sellers 42 11-20 6-12 8-10 6 2 3 0 1 36 26 -
S. Vaaks 37 4-15 2-11 10-12 2 3 1 0 3 20 8 -
O. Erhunmwunse 34 3-7 0-0 0-3 10 1 1 0 0 6 11 -
J. Jones 30 3-8 0-1 4-8 7 1 0 1 2 10 9 -
C. Hargrove 26 2-2 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
N. Daniels 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
D. Powell 15 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -

* = starter