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2026-01-06

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 91.6% 8.4% -
Bradley-Terry 83.4% 16.6% -
Margin 85.3% 14.7% -9.7 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% -
Efficiency 39.9% 60.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% -
Log Adjusted 89.2% 10.8% -
Points Off/Def 69.2% 30.8% -

Actual: Butler Bulldogs -14 (70-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mitchell 33 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 5 1 1 0 6 15 -8.9
O. Sellers 33 5-11 0-2 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 10 8 -8.0
Z. Ejiofor 30 6-12 0-2 6-7 5 2 3 1 1 18 16 -8.1
B. Hopkins 24 7-12 1-1 2-2 4 2 2 0 0 17 13 -3.8
I. Jackson 22 2-8 1-3 2-2 1 0 3 0 1 7 2 -5.0
J. Sanon 21 2-5 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 1 1 6 3 -8.1
L. Liotopoulos 18 4-8 2-6 0-1 0 1 0 0 1 10 2 -5.0
R. Prey 18 4-5 2-2 0-1 1 0 2 1 0 10 9 -2.9
S. Ibine Ayo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Bizjack 35 8-16 3-7 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 21 5 +9.5
M. Ajayi 30 4-7 0-0 6-7 9 5 0 1 4 14 18 +9.7
J. Kaiser Jr. 28 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
E. Haywood 22 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 0 2 0 4 11 5 +9.3
D. Jones 21 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 3 1 0 0 2 7 +3.2
Y. Traore 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 +8.3
A. Robinson 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 2 -2 +3.3
E. Oliogu-Elabor 12 2-4 0-0 3-3 1 1 0 0 2 7 3 +4.2
Y. Butler 10 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 5 3 +4.1
J. Keith 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1

* = starter