Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.3% | 14.7% | -9.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -14 (70-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | -8.9 |
| O. Sellers | 33 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -8.0 |
| Z. Ejiofor | 30 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | -8.1 |
| B. Hopkins | 24 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | -3.8 |
| I. Jackson | 22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -5.0 |
| J. Sanon | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -8.1 |
| L. Liotopoulos | 18 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -5.0 |
| R. Prey | 18 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -2.9 |
| S. Ibine Ayo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bizjack | 35 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | +9.5 |
| M. Ajayi | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 18 | +9.7 |
| J. Kaiser Jr. | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Haywood | 22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | +9.3 |
| D. Jones | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Y. Traore | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +8.3 |
| A. Robinson | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | +3.3 |
| E. Oliogu-Elabor | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +4.2 |
| Y. Butler | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +4.1 |
| J. Keith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter