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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.4 โœ— (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 67.4% 32.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 56.6% 43.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 56.8% 43.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“

Actual: Xavier Musketeers +14 (89-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Ajayi 36 9-16 3-3 1-3 12 4 0 2 5 22 19 -3.5
Finley Bizjack 32 3-8 1-4 5-5 2 3 0 0 2 12 7 -0.6
Jamie Kaiser Jr. 27 0-9 0-8 4-4 4 2 2 0 2 4 1 -1.1
Yohan Traore 24 7-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 14 10 +0.5
Yame Butler 22 5-9 3-5 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 14 9 -15.4
Evan Haywood 19 0-6 0-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 -3 -17.2
Drayton Jones 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 0 6 -10.3
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor 15 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 5 2 0 1 5 11 +8.2
Azavier Robinson 4 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 -5.1
Jackson Keith 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.8
Ethan McComb 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Moore 35 5-14 2-8 3-3 5 9 1 0 2 15 14 +8.7
Tre Carroll 34 12-22 1-5 4-5 9 0 1 5 3 29 19 +13.1
Filip Borovicanin 32 5-10 2-4 2-2 7 9 3 0 1 14 22 +6.1
Roddie Anderson III 29 5-15 1-5 0-0 7 4 2 0 2 11 7 -
Jovan Milicevic 28 6-9 2-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 14 11 +14.6
All Wright 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 6 +8.7
Pape N'Diaye 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2.3
Anthony Robinson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
Isaiah Walker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0
Ian Sabourin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Henry Thole 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Michael Wolf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter