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2025-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +4 (89-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Kaiser Jr. 34 6-9 3-5 1-2 5 3 1 0 2 16 14 -
F. Bizjack 30 3-12 1-7 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 10 1 -9.4
E. Haywood 29 4-12 3-9 0-0 5 3 0 1 0 11 8 -9.6
M. Ajayi 27 5-13 1-1 5-7 13 2 0 0 3 16 15 -5.2
A. Robinson 27 1-8 0-2 0-0 1 8 4 0 1 2 6 -9.1
Y. Traore 25 8-13 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 1 2 20 14 +5.9
D. Jones 15 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 0 6 8 -15.2
Y. Butler 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -0.3
E. Oliogu-Elabor 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -4.1

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Green 37 8-11 1-2 6-6 6 5 1 1 1 23 24 +9.7
J. Dix 37 3-9 1-6 2-2 7 4 1 1 3 9 10 +14.5
I. Traudt 35 6-12 4-10 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 16 7 +14.8
A. Swartz 32 8-16 5-10 1-2 5 3 1 1 0 22 16 +5.5
N. Graves 29 2-8 2-4 5-5 4 5 0 0 2 11 10 -0.7
Ty Davis 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 2 1 +10.3
B. Harper 8 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
F. Zugic 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.8
O. Freeman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 5 -4.8

* = starter