Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +3 (113-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sellers | 44 | 8-21 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 13 | -3.8 |
| S. Vaaks | 36 | 4-16 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | -8.2 |
| O. Erhunmwunse | 35 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 17 | -5.3 |
| J. Edwards | 33 | 12-22 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 19 | -0.3 |
| J. Jones | 29 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -3.5 |
| C. Floyd Jr. | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -5.8 |
| D. Powell | 20 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +1.5 |
| C. Hargrove | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1.3 |
| R. Mela | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.7 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ajayi | 45 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 11-16 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 28 | +4.1 |
| F. Bizjack | 44 | 8-21 | 2-10 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | +7.2 |
| J. Kaiser Jr. | 37 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | +7.6 |
| E. Haywood | 35 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | +4.5 |
| D. Jones | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 21 | +15.9 |
| A. Robinson | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +4.3 |
| Y. Traore | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3.3 |
| E. Oliogu-Elabor | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Y. Butler | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter