Atlanta Dream
2013 Team Stats (42 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1041 (#5) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 997 (#5) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 969 (#8) | HCA +48 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.6 (#4) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -1.3 (#9) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.520 (#5) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.533 (#4) | AdjNet +1.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.533 (#4) | AdjNet +1.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.513 (#4) | AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 73.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.472 (#9) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 74.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.508 (#5) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.500 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 993 (#6) | RD 76 | GP 42 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Angel McCoughtry
|
F | 41 | 31.3 | 20.8 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 18.3 | 11.2 | - | - | - | - | 39.3 | 21.4 | 82.5 | - | 48.8 | 41.3 |
D. Nowitzki
|
- | 6 | 30.2 | 14.3 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 11.7 | 15.2 | - | - | - | - | 52.9 | 40.0 | 66.7 | - | 56.1 | 54.3 |
E. de Souza
|
F | 42 | 30.0 | 12.5 | 9.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 10.0 | 14.8 | - | - | - | - | 53.7 | 0 | 66.4 | - | 55.9 | 53.7 |
Tiffany Hayes
|
G | 33 | 23.6 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 8.7 | 7.6 | - | - | - | - | 40.1 | 36.5 | 74.5 | - | 53.0 | 46.2 |
Jasmine Thomas
|
G | 44 | 27.1 | 8.0 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 9.4 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 35.5 | 19.3 | 69.0 | - | 39.9 | 37.6 |
A. Bentley
|
G | 44 | 21.1 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 38.2 | 29.9 | 72.9 | - | 44.9 | 42.7 |
C. Kraayeveld
|
F | 2 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 14.3 | 60.0 | - | 45.7 | 37.5 |
A. Herrington
|
G | 38 | 28.7 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 8.4 | - | - | - | - | 49.1 | 0 | 61.9 | - | 52.5 | 49.1 |
B. Alverson
|
G | 2 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 58.3 | 55.6 |
S. Carter
|
G | 2 | 19.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 38.5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 38.5 | 38.5 |
A. Henry-Morello
|
F | 44 | 15.0 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 5.9 | - | - | - | - | 48.8 | 0 | 80.4 | - | 53.3 | 48.8 |
S. Nash
|
- | 40 | 21.6 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 4.8 | - | - | - | - | 40.3 | 26.9 | 65.4 | - | 47.1 | 45.0 |
C. Clements
|
G | 32 | 9.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 26.4 | 25.0 | 81.0 | - | 35.4 | 31.2 |
R. Riley
|
C | 20 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 39.1 | 50.0 | 62.5 | - | 49.0 | 45.7 |
K. Swanier
|
G | 2 | 11.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 34.7 | 0.0 |
A. Armstrong
|
G | 11 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2013 Shot Zones
3045 located field-goal attempts in 44 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Angel McCoughtryE. de SouzaA. BentleyJasmine ThomasTiffany HayesC. Clements
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 632-1038 | 60.9 | 1264 | E. de Souza 25% (312 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 24% (302 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 22% (90 misses) | E. de Souza 17% (70 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 220-562 | 39.1 | 440 | Angel McCoughtry 20% (88 pts) | E. de Souza 16% (72 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 24% (83 misses) | E. de Souza 21% (71 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 108-390 | 27.7 | 216 | Jasmine Thomas 25% (54 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 23% (50 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 27% (75 misses) | Jasmine Thomas 21% (58 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 59-165 | 35.8 | 118 | Angel McCoughtry 24% (28 pts) | A. Bentley 22% (26 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 29% (31 misses) | A. Bentley 14% (15 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 110-330 | 33.3 | 220 | Angel McCoughtry 30% (66 pts) | E. de Souza 15% (32 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 29% (63 misses) | Jasmine Thomas 16% (35 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-17 | 29.4 | 15 | Jasmine Thomas 40% (6 pts) | Tiffany Hayes 40% (6 pts) | C. Clements 33% (4 misses) | Jasmine Thomas 33% (4 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Tiffany Hayes 67% (6 pts) | Jasmine Thomas 33% (3 pts) | Jasmine Thomas 80% (4 misses) | Tiffany Hayes 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 54-209 | 25.8 | 162 | A. Bentley 24% (39 pts) | Tiffany Hayes 24% (39 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 24% (37 misses) | Jasmine Thomas 17% (27 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 32-143 | 22.4 | 96 | A. Bentley 28% (27 pts) | S. Nash 22% (21 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 37% (41 misses) | A. Bentley 22% (24 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 53-183 | 29.0 | 159 | Angel McCoughtry 26% (42 pts) | Tiffany Hayes 23% (36 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 26% (34 misses) | A. Bentley 18% (24 misses) |