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2013-07-17

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. de Souza 37 7-20 0-0 1-3 18 2 2 2 3 15 16 -
A. Bentley 37 3-10 0-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 6 -1 -
A. McCoughtry 35 9-24 1-4 5-5 5 5 4 2 4 24 12 -
A. Herrington 34 7-16 0-0 4-6 3 1 2 0 1 18 7 -
L. Willingham 31 3-7 0-0 0-0 12 1 3 0 0 6 15 -
A. Henry-Morello 9 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Thomas 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Clements 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
R. Riley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Ogwumike 32 4-6 0-0 4-5 6 2 2 2 3 12 15 -
L. Harding 32 3-9 0-1 7-10 2 6 0 3 3 13 12 -
K. Toliver 30 5-13 2-3 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 15 5 -
C. Parker 26 2-10 0-1 2-2 10 0 2 3 5 6 6 -
A. Beard 25 6-10 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 13 5 -
A. Mathies 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
E. Hoffman 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 4 10 -
J. O'Hea 11 1-1 1-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
J. Lavender 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 1 2 7 -
M. Coleman 8 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter