Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (82-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 37 | 12-30 | 1-7 | 8-12 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 10 | - |
| A. Herrington | 36 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| E. de Souza | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| L. Willingham | 30 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Bentley | 25 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Thomas | 24 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Clements | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 38 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| C. Dupree | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 12 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Butler | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Houston | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Thomas | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. James | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter