Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +31 (88-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. White | 30 | 5-18 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -7 | - |
| K. Greene | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| I. Castro | 24 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 21 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| K. Griffin | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Charles | 20 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Faris | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Bass | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 32 | - |
| L. Willingham | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 26 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 33 | - |
| A. Herrington | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Thomas | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Hayes | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Bentley | 18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Clements | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Riley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter