Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | -3.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (88-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 37 | 13-27 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 16 | - |
| J. Thomas | 32 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Herrington | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| E. de Souza | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Willingham | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Hayes | 19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Bentley | 17 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 35 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T. Charles | 35 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| K. Faris | 34 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| T. White | 33 | 6-19 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| K. Griffin | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Bass | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Greene | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Castro | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter