Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | -3.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +1 (78-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 36 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 19 | - |
| E. de Souza | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | - |
| J. Thomas | 28 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | - |
| A. Herrington | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | - |
| L. Willingham | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Hayes | 17 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Riley | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Bentley | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Clements | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. White | 34 | 4-14 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 34 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| K. Griffin | 31 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Bass | 28 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| K. Greene | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| I. Castro | 18 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| S. Carter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter