Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | -3.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 32 | 14-33 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 8 | - |
| A. Herrington | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 30 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Willingham | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| E. de Souza | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Hayes | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Bentley | 14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Clements | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 35 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 8 | - |
| K. Greene | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| I. Castro | 26 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Hightower | 26 | 3-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Griffin | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| S. Carter | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Faris | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bass | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter