Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -8 (71-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 39 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 22 | - |
| C. Dupree | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | - |
| B. Butler | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| P. Taylor | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Thomas | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. James | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Kizer | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Houston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Herrington | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. de Souza | 34 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 29 | 8-21 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 10 | - |
| J. Thomas | 28 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| L. Willingham | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Hayes | 21 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 5-10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Bentley | 11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| R. Riley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Clements | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter