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2013-05-25

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Shock Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 22.6% 77.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +17 (98-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Johnson 35 4-10 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 5 10 4 -
Diggins-Smith 34 4-13 0-2 7-8 3 3 2 0 5 15 5 -
R. Williams 31 6-18 2-6 8-8 2 1 4 1 1 22 11 -
R. Hodges 27 4-7 3-5 3-3 2 0 1 0 1 14 9 -
K. Pedersen 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 2 3 7 -
L. Cambage 18 4-6 0-0 5-5 8 3 0 0 2 13 16 -
C. Wiggins 17 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 2 3 -
A. Goodrich 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
J. Lacy 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 32 8-13 0-0 2-3 10 3 3 0 2 18 19 -
A. Herrington 32 5-7 0-0 3-6 4 3 6 1 0 13 20 -
A. McCoughtry 28 6-16 1-3 3-3 4 4 2 0 6 16 4 -
J. Thomas 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 0 4 4 6 -
T. Hayes 19 7-13 1-4 6-6 3 0 0 0 0 21 11 -
E. de Souza 19 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 3 2 10 13 -
A. Bentley 18 2-7 0-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 0 5 3 -
A. Henry-Morello 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
L. Willingham 11 2-3 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 7 7 -
C. Clements 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Armstrong 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter