Wisconsin

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Wisconsin Badgers, Wisconsin

Program History

Coach: Greg Gard

2025 Team Stats (37 games)

80.1

PPG

70.9

Opp

+9.2

Margin

45.4%

FG%

34.8%

3P%

82.6%

FT%

36.5

RPG

14.5

APG

9.6

68.1

Est. poss./game

82.2

Adj PPG

64.1

Adj Opp PPG

#16

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1379 (#15)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1290 (#17)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More →	1122 (#37)	HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More →	+19.6 (#16)	HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More →	+20.8 (#10)	HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.804 (#23)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.8 More →	0.957 (#19)	AdjNet +26.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.1 More →	0.958 (#19)	AdjNet +27.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.2 \| AdjD 64.1 More →	0.838 (#16)	AdjO 82.2 \| AdjD 64.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.8 \| AdjD 66.1 More →	0.761 (#13)	AdjO 78.8 \| AdjD 66.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.880 (#13)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.869 (#13)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 \| GP 37 More →	1306 (#21)	RD 102 \| GP 37

2025 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2024-11-04	vs	Holy Cross Crusaders	W	85 - 61
2024-11-07	vs	Montana State Bobcats	W	79 - 67
2024-11-10	vs	App State Mountaineers	W	87 - 56
2024-11-15	vs	Arizona Wildcats	W	103 - 88
2024-11-18	vs	UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros	W	87 - 84
2024-11-22	vs	UCF Knights	W	86 - 70
2024-11-24	@	Pittsburgh Panthers	W	81 - 75
2024-11-30	vs	Chicago State Cougars	W	74 - 53
2024-12-03	vs	Michigan Wolverines	L	64 - 67
2024-12-07	@	Marquette Golden Eagles	L	74 - 88
2024-12-10	@	Illinois Fighting Illini	L	80 - 86
2024-12-14	@	Butler Bulldogs	W	83 - 74
2024-12-22	vs	Detroit Mercy Titans	W	76 - 53
2025-01-03	vs	Iowa Hawkeyes	W	116 - 85
2025-01-06	@	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	W	75 - 63
2025-01-10	vs	Minnesota Golden Gophers	W	80 - 59
2025-01-14	vs	Ohio State Buckeyes	W	70 - 68
2025-01-18	@	USC Trojans	W	84 - 69
2025-01-21	@	UCLA Bruins	L	83 - 85
2025-01-26	vs	Nebraska Cornhuskers	W	83 - 55
2025-01-29	@	Maryland Terrapins	L	68 - 76
2025-02-01	@	Northwestern Wildcats	W	75 - 69
2025-02-04	vs	Indiana Hoosiers	W	76 - 64
2025-02-08	@	Iowa Hawkeyes	W	74 - 63
2025-02-15	@	Purdue Boilermakers	W	94 - 84
2025-02-18	vs	Illinois Fighting Illini	W	95 - 74
2025-02-22	vs	Oregon Ducks	L	73 - 77
2025-02-25	vs	Washington Huskies	W	88 - 62
2025-03-02	@	Michigan State Spartans	L	62 - 71
2025-03-05	@	Minnesota Golden Gophers	W	74 - 67
2025-03-08	vs	Penn State Nittany Lions	L	75 - 86
2025-03-13	vs	Northwestern Wildcats	W	70 - 63
2025-03-14	@	UCLA Bruins	W	86 - 70
2025-03-15	@	Michigan State Spartans	W	77 - 74
2025-03-16	@	Michigan Wolverines	L	53 - 59
2025-03-20	vs	Montana Grizzlies	W	85 - 66
2025-03-22	vs	BYU Cougars	L	89 - 91

2025 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
John Tonje	-	37	31.1	19.6	5.3	1.8	0.7	0.2	1.8	11.9	13.9	-	-	-	-	46.5	38.8	90.9	-	65.7	56.2
John Blackwell	-	37	31.2	15.8	5.1	2.2	0.9	0.1	2.1	12.2	9.7	379	49	7.7	15.4	45.1	32.2	81.5	3.32	56.7	51.6
Steven Crowl	-	37	25.6	9.9	5.3	2.4	0.5	0.5	1.4	7.0	10.2	-	-	-	-	53.9	41.6	82.1	-	63.5	60.1
Nolan Winter	-	37	21.1	9.4	5.8	1.1	0.4	0.4	0.8	6.1	10.3	308	37	8.3	15.3	56.4	35.8	76.9	2.21	67.1	64.0
Max Klesmit	-	33	27.6	9.2	2.4	2.7	0.8	0.1	1.1	8.1	5.9	-	-	-	-	34.5	29.0	84.6	-	50.3	44.4
Kamari Mcgee	-	37	21.9	6.5	2.7	1.8	0.9	0.1	0.7	5.0	6.3	-	-	-	-	45.7	45.9	80.5	-	59.4	56.2
Carter Gilmore	-	37	19.0	3.9	2.6	1.3	0.3	0.5	0.5	3.0	5.2	138	21	6.6	14.2	46.8	33.9	72.4	1.42	59.0	56.3
Xavier Amos	-	37	9.7	3.5	1.8	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.5	3.3	2.4	-	-	-	-	37.4	29.4	70.4	-	48.6	45.5
Jack Janicki	-	37	11.4	1.9	1.4	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.2	1.9	2.6	-	-	-	-	39.1	27.7	33.3	-	48.0	48.6
Markus Ilver	-	20	3.3	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	1.4	0.7	-	-	-	-	35.7	33.3	100.0	-	52.1	48.2
Riccardo Greppi	-	9	2.3	0.9	1.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	1.7	-	-	-	-	66.7	0.0	66.7	-	70.9	66.7
Jack Robison	-	13	1.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	-	-	-	-	50.0	100.0	0	-	75.0	75.0
Camren Hunter	-	11	2.0	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	-0.1	-	-	-	-	12.5	25.0	0	-	18.8	18.8
Isaac Gard	-	13	1.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	-19	7	-2.7	-189.2	100.0	100.0	0	-1.39	150.0	150.0
Chris Hodges	-	15	1.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	-0.1	-22	7	-3.1	-184.6	0.0	0.0	25.0	-1.35	10.5	0.0
Daniel Freitag	-	14	1.9	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.8	-0.1	-	-	-	-	9.1	0.0	0.0	-	8.1	9.1
Aidan Konop	-	4	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	0	0	0	-	0	0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2024-2025 Shot Zones

787 located field-goal attempts in 13 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

John TonjeJohn BlackwellNolan WinterMax Klesmit

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	139-210	66.2	278	John Blackwell 25% (70 pts)	John Tonje 17% (48 pts)	John Blackwell 31% (22 misses)	John Tonje 15% (11 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	67-143	46.9	134	John Tonje 27% (36 pts)	Steven Crowl 25% (34 pts)	John Blackwell 25% (19 misses)	Steven Crowl 20% (15 misses)
Mid-range left	6-12	50.0	12	John Blackwell 50% (6 pts)	John Tonje 17% (2 pts)	John Blackwell 33% (2 misses)	John Tonje 33% (2 misses)
Mid-range center	4-11	36.4	8	John Tonje 50% (4 pts)	Carter Gilmore 25% (2 pts)	John Blackwell 29% (2 misses)	John Tonje 29% (2 misses)
Mid-range right	11-31	35.5	22	John Blackwell 27% (6 pts)	Steven Crowl 27% (6 pts)	John Tonje 45% (9 misses)	Kamari Mcgee 15% (3 misses)
Left corner 3	12-26	46.2	36	John Tonje 42% (15 pts)	Kamari Mcgee 33% (12 pts)	John Tonje 29% (4 misses)	Jack Janicki 21% (3 misses)
Right corner 3	9-24	37.5	27	Max Klesmit 44% (12 pts)	John Blackwell 22% (6 pts)	John Blackwell 27% (4 misses)	Kamari Mcgee 27% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 left	39-122	32.0	117	John Tonje 38% (45 pts)	Steven Crowl 21% (24 pts)	John Blackwell 22% (18 misses)	John Tonje 22% (18 misses)
Above-break 3 center	25-76	32.9	75	Nolan Winter 20% (15 pts)	Steven Crowl 20% (15 pts)	Nolan Winter 18% (9 misses)	John Tonje 16% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 right	36-132	27.3	108	John Blackwell 28% (30 pts)	John Tonje 22% (24 pts)	John Blackwell 27% (26 misses)	John Tonje 23% (22 misses)