Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +31 (116-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Thelwell | 32 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | -17.2 |
| Josh Dix | 32 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | -12.8 |
| Owen Freeman | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Payton Sandfort | 24 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brock Harding | 23 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -4.1 |
| Pryce Sandfort | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Seydou Traore | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -14.1 |
| Cooper Koch | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -13.6 |
| Ladji Dembele | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Even Brauns | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Chris Tadjo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Carter Kingsbury | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell | 32 | 11-18 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 25 | +15.1 |
| Nolan Winter | 25 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +12.5 |
| John Tonje | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +19.1 |
| Carter Gilmore | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +12.9 |
| Max Klesmit | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +7.6 |
| Kamari McGee | 21 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +11.0 |
| Steven Crowl | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | +6.3 |
| Jack Janicki | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Xavier Amos | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +7.3 |
| Markus Ilver | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +4.8 |
| Chris Hodges | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
| Camren Hunter | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Isaac Gard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Freitag | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Jack Robison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
* = starter