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2025-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 14.2% 85.8% -
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 43.2% 56.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% -
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% -
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 37 7-13 1-3 6-6 2 3 1 0 1 21 13 +17.4
M. Parrish 31 3-13 1-5 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 7 3 +10.5
J. Mobley Jr. 30 2-8 1-3 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 8 2 +13.9
D. Royal 28 4-10 1-3 3-3 6 2 0 0 5 12 5 +17.5
E. Mahaffey 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 6 5 -8.6
S. Stewart 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 1 4 10 +18.5
Q. Glover 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 +0.0
C. White 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +7.1
I. Njegovan 11 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 5 8 -0.6
A. Bradshaw 8 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 +3.2
A. Parks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.6

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tonje 36 3-7 1-4 10-10 4 0 1 0 3 17 12 -8.7
J. Blackwell 31 5-12 1-4 4-6 6 2 1 0 3 15 9 -14.4
M. Klesmit 30 1-5 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 0 -9.9
C. Gilmore 28 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 5 6 -6.0
S. Crowl 28 5-10 0-3 4-4 7 1 0 1 0 14 13 -11.9
N. Winter 18 0-3 0-2 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 4 7 -7.5
K. McGee 16 3-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 9 4 -7.2
J. Janicki 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.4
X. Amos 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -0.2

* = starter