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2025-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% -
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Log Adjusted 36.6% 63.4% -
Points Off/Def 39.5% 60.5% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tonje 34 8-15 4-10 12-14 7 2 0 1 2 32 25 -5.6
S. Crowl 31 2-6 1-3 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 5 7 -4.7
C. Gilmore 30 4-7 2-3 0-0 5 5 1 3 0 10 17 +1.8
J. Blackwell 29 4-11 1-4 5-7 3 2 1 0 2 14 7 -4.1
K. McGee 25 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 6 -1.2
M. Klesmit 18 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 4 2 -4.6
J. Janicki 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 +7.5
N. Winter 12 1-2 1-2 3-4 0 1 0 0 0 6 5 +0.3
X. Amos 7 1-3 0-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -5.0

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Richardson 31 5-10 4-5 7-7 7 1 0 1 2 21 18 -4.2
J. Akins 28 2-8 1-4 1-3 1 0 0 1 1 6 -1 +13.2
C. Cooper 28 2-3 0-0 4-4 10 3 0 0 1 8 17 +14.8
T. Holloman 26 3-12 1-5 3-4 2 2 0 0 0 10 2 +10.4
J. Fears Jr. 26 5-8 0-1 4-4 3 6 0 0 1 14 14 +7.7
C. Carr 23 3-8 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 2 +2.1
J. Kohler 16 3-4 1-1 0-1 7 1 0 0 0 7 11 +3.9
F. Fidler 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -3.6
S. Zapala 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -9.3
X. Booker 4 0-1 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -3.6

* = starter