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2025-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Margin 40.5% 59.5% +2.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.2% 49.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +6 (59-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Blackwell 36 6-17 2-8 4-4 5 0 1 0 2 18 5 -4.0
John Tonje 32 1-14 0-5 7-8 7 2 0 0 0 9 4 -5.8
Max Klesmit 31 4-14 2-10 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 12 1 -12.1
Steven Crowl 29 1-5 1-3 1-2 6 2 1 0 1 4 7 -7.9
Carter Gilmore 23 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -8.2
Nolan Winter 20 2-7 1-5 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 5 6 +1.3
Kamari McGee 16 0-4 0-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 3 -0.9
Xavier Amos 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 3 -4.1
Jack Janicki 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.3

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vladislav Goldin 32 4-12 1-2 2-3 5 1 0 0 3 11 2 +16.8
Tre Donaldson 31 2-7 1-4 6-6 3 8 1 1 2 11 15 +6.7
Nimari Burnett 31 3-4 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 8 10 +18.1
Danny Wolf 27 3-8 0-4 2-2 8 1 0 0 3 8 6 +7.9
Will Tschetter 27 2-8 2-7 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 6 7 +11.1
Rubin Jones 24 2-10 1-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 -1 +3.4
L.J. Cason 15 2-6 2-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 8 8 +2.9
Roddy Gayle Jr. 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -7.3

* = starter