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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 69.8% 30.2% - โœ“
Margin 72.5% 27.5% -5.3 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 79.7% 20.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 79.9% 20.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -11 (63-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Blackwell 33 7-15 3-7 2-3 6 2 1 0 3 19 10 -1.8
John Tonje 33 5-11 3-9 9-10 6 4 0 1 2 22 20 +11.7
Steven Crowl 30 2-7 1-4 2-2 8 2 3 1 1 7 13 +7.4
Max Klesmit 30 3-8 2-6 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 9 4 -2.4
Carter Gilmore 23 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 3 4 -14.7
Kamari McGee 21 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 5 7 -5.2
Nolan Winter 19 2-8 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 4 2 -1.7
Xavier Amos 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 +7.2
Jack Janicki 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -1.6

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Dix 35 5-12 3-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 13 8 -0.7
Payton Sandfort 34 2-11 1-7 2-2 8 1 3 1 1 7 8 -
Seydou Traore 30 4-13 1-4 0-0 6 3 0 2 1 9 6 +1.6
Drew Thelwell 25 3-9 1-3 4-4 4 3 0 0 3 11 6 +1.7
Pryce Sandfort 25 6-9 1-3 1-3 4 2 0 0 0 14 11 -
Ladji Dembele 24 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 7 4 -7.9
Brock Harding 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 +0.6
Riley Mulvey 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -0.3
Even Brauns 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +6.7
Carter Kingsbury 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 +0.3

* = starter