Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell | 37 | 7-19 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | -8.0 |
| John Tonje | 36 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -4.5 |
| Kamari McGee | 35 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -24.6 |
| Steven Crowl | 30 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -9.0 |
| Nolan Winter | 29 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 | -9.6 |
| Carter Gilmore | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Jack Janicki | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Xavier Amos | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Markus Ilver | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +4.0 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Akins | 31 | 6-18 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | +29.0 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 30 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | +14.7 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Carson Cooper | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Jase Richardson | 21 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Frankie Fidler | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +5.0 |
| Tre Holloman | 19 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +8.6 |
| Szymon Zapala | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +5.2 |
| Coen Carr | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Xavier Booker | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +3.4 |
* = starter