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2025-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -10 (84-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tonje 34 10-15 4-9 8-9 6 3 0 1 2 32 25 +5.5
M. Klesmit 33 5-10 1-6 6-7 2 6 1 0 1 17 15 +6.2
N. Winter 28 4-7 2-5 2-4 5 0 1 0 0 12 11 -5.3
J. Blackwell 28 5-8 1-3 0-2 4 2 0 0 0 11 9 -1.9
C. Gilmore 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 2 4 +3.1
S. Crowl 20 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 3 6 +2.3
J. Janicki 17 4-6 3-4 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 11 9 -4.8
K. McGee 8 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 5 -2.3
X. Amos 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -0.3

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 40 2-10 0-2 2-2 5 12 0 0 1 6 12 -
T. Kaufman-Renn 37 12-16 0-0 6-9 4 5 1 0 1 30 23 +6.9
F. Loyer 28 4-8 2-4 5-6 4 1 0 0 1 15 11 +1.4
C.J. Cox 27 4-8 3-6 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 13 13 -0.1
C. Furst 24 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 +11.5
M. Colvin 18 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 3 +2.4
C. Heide 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 4 -9.9
G. Harris 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.8
R. Burgess 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

* = starter