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2024-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 53.7% 46.3% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% -
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +6 (86-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tonje 32 5-15 2-7 2-2 4 3 0 0 4 14 2 +2.8
M. Klesmit 29 4-10 2-5 3-6 1 4 1 0 3 13 6 -6.8
N. Winter 29 5-11 2-7 3-3 7 1 2 0 1 15 13 -5.6
J. Blackwell 22 4-6 0-1 2-4 5 0 0 0 2 10 7 +8.9
K. McGee 21 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 3 1 0 0 4 6 +0.7
C. Gilmore 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 7 5 +3.8
S. Crowl 19 3-9 1-4 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 9 2 +1.9
J. Janicki 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 3 8 -6.0
X. Amos 11 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 6 +0.4

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jakucionis 37 8-15 4-8 4-4 6 5 1 0 4 24 17 +7.9
K. Boswell 33 5-11 2-6 7-7 4 6 2 0 3 19 17 +7.0
T. Ivisic 30 4-12 1-5 0-0 11 0 0 1 0 9 9 +12.8
T. White 29 6-8 2-3 9-10 8 1 0 1 4 23 21 +7.8
B. Humrichous 26 1-5 1-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 1 +9.4
W. Riley 15 2-4 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 5 1 -6.8
M. Johnson Jr. 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 +1.8
D. Gibbs-Lawhorn 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -6.4
J. Davis 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4.8

* = starter