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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% -
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% -
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% -
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +2 (85-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tonje 34 8-9 6-7 2-3 5 2 0 0 2 24 20 -1.3
J. Blackwell 34 5-14 3-7 10-12 4 4 1 0 4 23 14 +6.2
M. Klesmit 30 2-5 2-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 8 5 -12.1
S. Crowl 29 4-6 1-2 2-2 5 3 1 1 2 11 13 +4.2
C. Gilmore 24 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 +3.3
N. Winter 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -14.1
K. McGee 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 3 3 -2.8
X. Amos 6 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -5.2
J. Janicki 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.9
M. Ilver 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Andrews 34 4-10 1-4 1-2 1 7 2 0 1 10 9 +1.1
T. Bilodeau 31 6-10 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 16 8 +10.3
K. Johnson 27 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 0 +19.9
S. Clark 27 3-7 3-6 3-4 5 4 1 0 0 12 15 +16.8
S. Mack 24 6-12 0-3 7-8 4 2 0 0 1 19 12 +0.8
E. Dailey Jr. 22 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 3 +3.7
A. Mara 21 7-7 0-0 8-12 5 0 0 2 1 22 21 +7.8
L. Stefanovic 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4.5
W. Kyle III 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3 -7.2

* = starter